Tuley’s Takes: College Basketball Mid-Majors Conference Tournaments

Tuley’s Taking-College Basketball Mid-Majors Conference Tournaments:

We are always excited here in Tuley’s take the home office when the calendar turns to March Madness, especially for Men’s College -Basketball Conference Tournaments. As I have written every year for a long time here at VSIN and back to my days at Daily Racing Form and ESPN, the conference tournaments offer more and better betting options than the actual NCAA tournament (and I’m not afraid of losing my “game card” to say it out loud). We have hundreds of games in these two weeks leading up to the big dance, and then only 32 games in NCAA Tourney’s Thursday and Friday’s first round matches and only 16 on that opening Saturday and Sunday.

The most success I have had over the years in the conference tournaments has been fading teams that are already locked for the NCAA tournament when playing “bubble teams” or even sometimes teams that are even lower seeds in their own conference and whose only shot is getting the automatic bid by winning the Post Season tournament. While everyone wants to win a conference tournament title, it is not priority # 1 for the very best teams; They are already looking forward to the great dance. If they survive and move on to a conference title, it is ok, but they are not destroyed if they lose as they know they have bigger fish to fry.

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Meanwhile, the lower dogs in these games are very motivated. Think back over the years on all conference tournament disorders, where a lower-ranked team disturbed a team that was a lock for NCAAS, and TV speaking heads said things like “No one saw it coming.” There is a good chance that I and my followers did it! And while these teams do not pull the rebellion to move on, they are often good efforts to keep the game tight and cover the spread.

Unfortunately, we do not often have playable dogs in the early rounds of the smaller conference tournaments this first week, as most are one-bit leagues, so it is harder for me to fade the top seeds that need to win the automatic bids anyway (although disturbances also occur).

I probably stay away from Conference USA as it probably comes down to Jacksonville State and Liberty, and if one of them doesn’t make the title game, the other is still necessary to pack the automatic bid. The same goes for the West Coast conference, which should come down to Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s (which swept the regular seasonal meetings this season), and no team looks dangerous enough to take points against the top two in the WCC semi-finals.

Let’s look at some of the other mid-Mayors, and I will return early next week with the big conferences when we have a better grip on how the parentheses take shape and try to project specific matchups as the larger conferences have a better chance of our living dogs getting points in previous rounds.

Missouri Valley (6-9 March)

Bradley closed the regular season on a 6-1 race, but Braves lives in Drake’s Shadow in the “Arch Madness” tournament in the Enterprise Center in St. Louis. Drake should get a big bid, even though it’s not my game to win the MVC tournament, so Bradley will be my game if you get points in the title game on Sunday 9 March (Braves will obviously be preferred in the quarter and SEMIS). In fact, most of my efforts in this conference tournament will be on the underders of the individual games. One of my many years of Viewfromvegas forum members, Rdalert, has put us on the wonder of this league’s game in recent years (39-21, 65%, the last 10 MVC tournaments, according to my VSIN colleague Steve Makinen). The bad news is that the oddsmakers might be caught (Shhh !!!) and could shade the totals even lower, but I bet we are still ending in the end (at least 6-5, hopefully 6-4-1 or 7-4 or better) with the underneath in the 11 tournament games. It is probably best to bet the openers in the event that there is a race on the underen.

American Athletic (12-16 March)

North Texas is in the same boat as the aforementioned Bradley. Memphis is ranked No. 16 from this writing and a lock to manufacture the 68-team field regardless of how Tigers do it in the AAC tournament. North Texas has arrived on Strong (on a 12-2 race on their way into their game on Thursday, March 5). The average green could be a live dog (though probably only vs. Memphis in the AAC title game on selection on Sunday, March 17 in Fort Worth, Texas) as they still need to win the conference tournament to get into the big dance.

Atlantic-10 (12-16 March)

The A-10 still ends its regular season this weekend, but it seems that Virginia Commonwealth will hold on to the title in regular season and still do the NCAA tournament, even if it doesn’t win the Tourney conference. They could be a hazy team, especially if the Senior Guard Phillip Russell is not 100%. The A-10 is usually a multiple-bite league, so they need to be safe, while George Mason and Dayton probably need deep runs to secure their spots so I would play one of them if they get points. We monitor other conference results because if more bids are stolen, these teams may have to win the A-10 to enter.

Mountain West (12-15 March)

This is always a competitive conference, though they usually fall on their collective faces in the great dance. I may be able to visit this league next week with the big conferences, as much can change between now and then, and I get a better idea of ​​how the bracket is formed. New Mexico is basically a NCAA lock, although if it is an early exit, along with probably Utah State and Boise State, though most bracketologists have them on the bubble. UNLV is down to the list, but the rebels are often dangerous with the MWC Tournament, played at home in Thomas & Mack Center. My gameplan for now is to take UNLV and Boise State in any game where they get points, especially if against New Mexico or Utah State.

Big West (12-15 March)

If you believe that UC San Diego Tritons, the regular seasonal masters and a former division II school will earn a great bid in the NCAA tournament in the first year with eligibility, although it does not win the conference tournament, they would be a good team to fade in the Big West Semifinals or Final. The problem is that I do not know what team (s) there would be and do not know their opponent in next week’s Friday night semis before next Thursday night here in Vega’s suburb of Henderson. But we will scout the previous round games. The play may be on UC Irvine if you face UC San Diego in the title game to make this a to-bite league.